2010-01-08

2010: The Best of Times or the Worst?

“It was the best of times. It was the worst of times.” – Charles Dickens

Is the recession over? Are happy days really here again? Paraphrasing Dickens, my answer is,“For people who are prepared, 2010 will be the best of times. For many, 2010 will be the worst of times.”


A mortgage reset is when a mortgage comes due.


In September 2008, the mortgage resets hit $35 billion that month. That was the exact time the financial crisis hit. When people could not afford to refinance and began to default, the stock market and banking industry crashed.

Since home values have gone down, many homeowners will find they owe more than their home(s) are worth. Will the bank be kind to them?

Obviously these are the best of times if you are a buyer of distressed properties and the worst of times if you are a seller.

The following recaps the year-end prices of gold and silver:

YEAR GOLD SILVER
2000 $ 273 $ 4.57
2001 $ 279 $ 4.57
2002 $ 348 $ 4.78
2003 $ 416 $ 5.92
2004 $ 438 $ 6.79
2005 $ 518 $ 8.80
2006 $ 638 $12.78
2007 $ 838 $14.77
2008 $ 882 $11.33
2009 $1100 (approx) $17.50 (approx)

In 2009, the Dow rose approximately 18%. Gold rose approximately 25%. Silver rose approximately 50%.

2010 through 2012 will be a real estate buffet for those with cash and access to credit.

The company is debt free with strong income.

People still need a roof over their heads.

With the Fed printing trillions of dollars, cash is trash and savers are losers. As soon as I have excess cash I invest in oil, real estate, gold, and silver.

In a zero-interest-rate environment, debtors are winners…but only if you have good debt…debt that’s paid by tenants.

In Conclusion

A few years ago, Japan was ‘King of the Financial World.’ Japan’s economy was the world’s second largest economy -- till the bubble burst in 1990. Japan’s budget went into deficit in 1993. Since then, the deficit has averaged 5.4 percent of GDP per year. As a result, Japanese government debt is now 200 percentof GDP today. The U.S. is following Japan, and China will follow the U.S.



by Robert Kiyosaki